Please note: The following flood forecast is experimental and still in the process of being tweaked and refined.
Wave runup predictions at this site are made with historical LiDAR- and GPS-derived foreshore beach slope extending from MSL to MHW at MOP transect L0772.
Offshore wave conditions are extracted from the CDIP San Pedro South Buoy (213) in 66m (217 ft) water depth. Forecasted waves include mean setup and time-variable swash motions, following Stockdon et al. 2006, equation 19, averaged at three-hour forecast intervals.
The flood threshold (red line) is taken to be the vertical measurement (MLLW datum) of the nearby bike path. Observed waves for this plot are derived with the ‘nowcast’ CDIP wave products.